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2024-12-14 05:10:23
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Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.The balance of A-share financing reached a new high of more than 9 years. According to Wind data, as of December 11th, the balance of A-share market financing reached 1,875.85 billion yuan, a new high of more than 9 years. In the first three trading days of this week, the financing balance "increased three times in a row", with a cumulative increase of 22.579 billion yuan. Analysts believe that short-term ample liquidity and optimistic policy expectations are still the main support of the market. In the medium and long term, the A-share market is expected to continue to fluctuate upward under the dual promotion of policy expectations and economic trends. (china securities journal)Securities Times: Deepen the reform of the capital market and lay a solid foundation for the coordinated development of investment and financing. The direct statement of the central economic work conference on the capital market includes two aspects: one is to "stabilize the stock market" and the other is to "deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market, open up the blocking points of medium and long-term funds entering the market, and enhance the inclusiveness and adaptability of the capital market system". The reporter learned that the CSRC is currently studying and formulating an implementation plan to further comprehensively deepen the reform of the capital market, deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market, and improve the institutional mechanisms to promote the high-quality development of listed companies and enhance the inherent stability of the market. It is reported that the CSRC will further improve the equity incentive system, focus on cultivating and expanding patient capital, comprehensively use various tools such as stocks, bonds and futures, improve the support policies for venture capital and private equity investment, guide better investment in early, small, long-term and hard technologies, help high-quality innovative enterprises to grow and develop, and provide support for China's economic transformation and upgrading and long-term development.


Trump: I met Harold Daggett, president of Ila.Top 20 US stock turnover on December 12: Adobe's poor performance led to a sharp drop of 13.7%. On Thursday, Adobe, the fourth US stock turnover, closed down 13.69%, the biggest one-day drop in two years, with a turnover of 8.32 billion US dollars. The company's performance guidance fell short of market expectations, which aggravated investors' concerns that the creative software giant might be subverted by emerging artificial intelligence (AI) startups. The company expects revenue of $23.4 billion in fiscal year 2025, which is less than the $23.8 billion expected by analysts; Earnings per share are expected to be $20.20-$20.50, which is less than the analyst's expectation of $20.52. After Adobe announced its financial report and performance forecast, Bank of America Securities lowered its target price from $640 to $605, and Jefferies lowered its target price from $700 to $650. (Global Market Broadcast)Turkish Presidential Palace: Erdogan told US Secretary of State Blinken that Turkey will take preventive measures against terrorist organizations including the People's Protection Force (YPG) and the Islamic State in Syria.


Chip-concentrated stocks clustered in four major industries, and 43 stocks fell for more than three consecutive periods. According to the statistics of Securities Times and DataBao, as of December 12, 300 stocks disclosed the number of shareholders in the latest period, compared with the previous period (November 30), there were 162 stocks with a decrease in the number of shareholders. Specifically, the number of shareholders in 29 stocks decreased by more than 5%, and the number of shareholders in 5 stocks decreased by more than 10%, including Dongfang Huanyu, Zhongshe, Baina Qiancheng, Midland New Materials and Hengshuai. Many chip-concentrated stocks have performed well in the recent market. According to the statistics of DataBao, the average share capital of 126 chips has increased by 4.86% since last month, and the cumulative increase of 18 stocks is above 10%. The top gainers are Guoan Da, Beiwei Technology and Silk Road Vision, which have increased by 42.5%, 26.18% and 21.44% respectively. From the industry point of view, the number of chip concentrated stocks is the largest in the four major industries of mechanical equipment, power equipment, electronics, medicine and biology.International precious metal futures closed down sharply, COMEX gold futures fell by 1.87%, COMEX gold futures fell by 1.87% to $2,705.2 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell by 4.25% to $31.565 per ounce.China's agricultural science and technology strength ranks first in the world, China's agricultural science and technology papers rank first in the world, China's agricultural science and technology papers rank first in the world, and China's agricultural patent competitiveness index ranks first in the world for the first time ... On December 12, 2024, the China Agricultural and Rural Science and Technology Development Forum and the conference on global agricultural research hotspots and scientific and technological competitiveness achievements were held in Beijing. At the meeting, the results reports of think tanks such as "2024 China Agricultural Science and Technology Papers and Patent Global Competitiveness Analysis" were released, and a group of bright data conveyed the vigorous trend that China's agricultural science and technology strength continued to rank first in the world.

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